There are just some situations you should avoid…like the advice I gave my college students back in the day.

“Don’t make any major decisions after midnight.”

“If it’s not a good idea at two in the afternoon, it’s definitely not a good idea at two o’clock in the morning.”

“Don’t cheat.”

Seem like no-brainers, right? Too often, we live life like everything goes and it’s all fun, when instead, we need to recognize that there are consequences. Drafting the following guys will bring bad consequences this season…

Ray Rice has too much tread worn off the tires, Bernard Pierce is nipping at his heels (and carries), and Joe Flacco’s intermediate route runners (Anquan Boldin and Dennis Pitta) have left the building. Rice is going to get a lot of defensive attention.

Wes Welker is not in Kansas, er, New England, anymore. He’s one of the many receiving mouths that Peyton Manning has to feed, and folks who expect a repeat of his hundred-plus-reception seasons are forgetting that he’s getting long in the tooth, even if he’s still short. (And I promise that it’s not just the Patriot fan in my writing that!)

DeMarco Murray (or Darren McFadden) will not be on my team. He’s too breakable, like Samuel L. Jackson’s character in Unbreakable, to be worth the draft pick/auction price that you’ll have to pay to get him. Save yourself the “will he play or won’t he” on Sundays and leave him for Jerry Jones to fawn over. He’d be better off sitting in the cockpit of a Pacific Rim jaeger.

Greg Jennings has been running his mouth more than the hosts of The Talk but he’s forgetting that Aaron Rodgers is an all-world quarterback and Christian Ponder was so-so at Florida State. Oh, and Jennings is still getting older. He should stick to complimenting Mike McCarthy, because he’s going to want to retire as a Packer soon.

Andrew Luck had a beautiful rookie season. He blew away everyone’s expectations, and even made the Colts’ fans forget (or at least, not miss immediately) Peyton Manning. But Bruce Arians is in Arizona, Pep Hamilton wants to run, and Reggie Wayne makes Jennings look like a young pup. Draft him, but don’t expect a repeat of last year. I’m also avoiding Ben Roethlisberger, whose deep threat (Mike Wallace) has taken his talents to South Beach, and whose running back is a rookie (Le’Von Bell) that didn’t light the world on fire at Michigan State.

It’s almost time for the real games to begin. Got questions? Critiques? Leave ’em here or Tweet me at Spider_Raven. Next week may just be the release of my perfect team…